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Post by asm18 on Apr 23, 2024 15:50:52 GMT -5
Per Chris Cotillo - “ Cora says Red Sox/Guardians are in communication with MLB about weather and that they may not play. Doubleheader tomorrow if not.
WooSox in Toledo, about two hours away, were rained out.”
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Post by itinerantherb on Apr 23, 2024 15:56:04 GMT -5
That's in the MLB though, Kavadas has a 32% K Rate in AAA so far on his life, and actually had an even higher K rate in AA. How many guys have an >30% K rate in AAA and are able to be average MLB hitters? (Serious question, I have no idea, but my sense is it is a low number). Before Dalbec's good MLB stretch in 2020-2021 he struck out <25% of the time across AA and AAA in 2019. I was curious about this question, so looked it up and found a few "successes" since 2014 (your mileage may vary on how successful these are): Matt Chapman - Struck out 30.8% of the time in 289 PAs in AAA. Been an above 100 wrc+ player each year in MLB. Brent Rooker - struck out 34.7% in AAA in 2019, 30% in 2021, got it down to 28% in 2022, and had a big 2023 (127 wrc+) after struggling in his initial major league exposure until then. TBD if he is able to repeat that level. Josh Lowe - Struck out 26.2% in AAA in 2021, climbed up to 32.8% in AAA in 2022. Had a bad first year in the majors, broke out last year with 131 wrc+. TBD if he repeats. Joey Gallo - nobody can really compare to him, since his raw power is so insane he might be above average wrc+ while striking out 40+% of the time again this year. Jose Siri - Was decent last year, but I personally don't believe in his bat. K'd 30.7% of the time in 2021 in AAA, but had cut it down to 25.6 in 78 plate appearances in 2022 before getting the call up. TBD on Nelson Velasquez. Elly De La Cruz struck out 30.9% of the time in AA in 207 PAs, then 26.9% in AAA in 186. Is destroying in small sample size so far this year. Most others didn't make it, or only had a year or two of note with replacement level seasons mixed in (like Trayce Thompson). Don't know if this says anything about Niko's chances, but it was interesting to look at. Thanks for doing the legwork on this. I had that exact same question. So it's *possible* that Kavadas wouldn't be terrible. But still, what's his ceiling? A barely adequate hitter who can only play 1B, and not even particularly well? (Not directed at you, in particular, ajs.)
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Post by oldfaithful2019 on Apr 23, 2024 15:56:22 GMT -5
Per Chris Cotillo - “ Cora says Red Sox/Guardians are in communication with MLB about weather and that they may not play. Doubleheader tomorrow if not. WooSox in Toledo, about two hours away, were rained out.” NO, I can't take that. Rain out after a day off is too much withdrawal !!!
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Post by dirtywaterinla on Apr 23, 2024 15:56:55 GMT -5
Per Chris Cotillo - “ Cora says Red Sox/Guardians are in communication with MLB about weather and that they may not play. Doubleheader tomorrow if not. WooSox in Toledo, about two hours away, were rained out.” Sucks for us baseball watching folks, but might be ideal to sneak in another day of rest for TON & Devers.
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nomar
Veteran
Posts: 10,830
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Post by nomar on Apr 23, 2024 16:04:49 GMT -5
Per Chris Cotillo - “ Cora says Red Sox/Guardians are in communication with MLB about weather and that they may not play. Doubleheader tomorrow if not. WooSox in Toledo, about two hours away, were rained out.” Sucks for us baseball watching folks, but might be ideal to sneak in another day of rest for TON & Devers. Either way neither is playing both games IMO. But at least the team can have a night of bonding in luxurious and rainy Cleveland Ohio.
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Post by scottysmalls on Apr 23, 2024 16:09:23 GMT -5
Gives them one more day to get Garrett Cooper from Chicago to Cleveland.
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Post by Foulke_In_Athol on Apr 23, 2024 16:19:45 GMT -5
I was curious about this question, so looked it up and found a few "successes" since 2014 (your mileage may vary on how successful these are): Matt Chapman - Struck out 30.8% of the time in 289 PAs in AAA. Been an above 100 wrc+ player each year in MLB. Brent Rooker - struck out 34.7% in AAA in 2019, 30% in 2021, got it down to 28% in 2022, and had a big 2023 (127 wrc+) after struggling in his initial major league exposure until then. TBD if he is able to repeat that level. Josh Lowe - Struck out 26.2% in AAA in 2021, climbed up to 32.8% in AAA in 2022. Had a bad first year in the majors, broke out last year with 131 wrc+. TBD if he repeats. Joey Gallo - nobody can really compare to him, since his raw power is so insane he might be above average wrc+ while striking out 40+% of the time again this year. Jose Siri - Was decent last year, but I personally don't believe in his bat. K'd 30.7% of the time in 2021 in AAA, but had cut it down to 25.6 in 78 plate appearances in 2022 before getting the call up. TBD on Nelson Velasquez. Elly De La Cruz struck out 30.9% of the time in AA in 207 PAs, then 26.9% in AAA in 186. Is destroying in small sample size so far this year. Most others didn't make it, or only had a year or two of note with replacement level seasons mixed in (like Trayce Thompson). Don't know if this says anything about Niko's chances, but it was interesting to look at. Thanks for doing the legwork on this. I had that exact same question. So it's *possible* that Kavadas wouldn't be terrible. But still, what's his ceiling? A barely adequate hitter who can only play 1B, and not even particularly well? (Not directed at you, in particular, ajs.) Barely adequate hitter? doesnt he have like a 1300+ OPS right now? The reason not to call him up would be that he hits a ton, but will will he be able to manage the K's against major league pitching.
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ericmvan
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Supposed to be working on something more important
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Post by ericmvan on Apr 23, 2024 17:02:49 GMT -5
Per Chris Cotillo - “ Cora says Red Sox/Guardians are in communication with MLB about weather and that they may not play. Doubleheader tomorrow if not. WooSox in Toledo, about two hours away, were rained out.” Presume they'd play 2 tomorrow. That sets up a Cubs series of Crawford, Winck, and No Idea (because Houck has been pushed back a day). Maybe a bullpen game with Criswell contributing on 3 days rest.
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Post by asm18 on Apr 23, 2024 17:10:18 GMT -5
Per Chris Cotillo - “ Cora says Red Sox/Guardians are in communication with MLB about weather and that they may not play. Doubleheader tomorrow if not. WooSox in Toledo, about two hours away, were rained out.” Presume they'd play 2 tomorrow. That sets up a Cubs series of Crawford, Winck, and No Idea (because Houck has been pushed back a day). Maybe a bullpen game with Criswell contributing on 3 days rest. I guess we don’t have to worry - the weather gods relented and we have baseball!
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Post by thegoodthebadthesox on Apr 23, 2024 17:11:22 GMT -5
Thanks for doing the legwork on this. I had that exact same question. So it's *possible* that Kavadas wouldn't be terrible. But still, what's his ceiling? A barely adequate hitter who can only play 1B, and not even particularly well? (Not directed at you, in particular, ajs.) Barely adequate hitter? doesnt he have like a 1300+ OPS right now? The reason not to call him up would be that he hits a ton, but will will he be able to manage the K's against major league pitching. He has a 1.089 OPS.... in AAA.... in 52 PA's....
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Apr 23, 2024 17:13:21 GMT -5
Many here seem MUCH higher on Kavadas than I am, but maybe I'm missing something. To those who want to see him called up, what about his Dalbecian strike out numbers in Portland and Worcester make you think he'll be better than Dalbec? I can see the plate discipline, but that's got to be more than offset by worse base running and defense. Kavadas can not be worse than Dalbec’s 1/30. What are we afraid he will go 0/30? There is not a better option currently available.
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Post by notstarboard on Apr 23, 2024 17:18:12 GMT -5
O'Neill with a 111 mph liner in his first AB back from the concussion...
This team would have been absolutely humming with good injury luck.
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Post by Soxfansince1971 on Apr 23, 2024 17:18:27 GMT -5
That would be a no go for Devers tonight. At this point why not retroactively put him on the IL? It's only going to cost them a handful of games and I'd rather him get right. They have no position players left on the 40-man to call up. The Red Sox would need to put Mata or Walter on the 60-day DL in order to add a position player to the 40-man in order to get him on the 26-man roster…
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Post by notstarboard on Apr 23, 2024 17:20:20 GMT -5
Glad AC heard me complaining about it and flipped Reyes and Dalbec
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Post by redsox04071318champs on Apr 23, 2024 17:22:28 GMT -5
What's taking the Sox so long to get on the phone to Cron or Garrett Cooper to get them to come over to a team that needs a regular 1b for the new few months?
With Cooper he's already been playing s other so there wouldn't be any real rust factor. I really hope they don't go with Dalbec until Casas is ready.
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Post by bettsonmookie on Apr 23, 2024 17:23:44 GMT -5
What in god’s name is that splitter … SHEESH
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cdj
Veteran
Posts: 14,094
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Post by cdj on Apr 23, 2024 17:32:31 GMT -5
Splitter is awfully nice these days
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Post by notstarboard on Apr 23, 2024 17:34:59 GMT -5
Come on Valdez
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Post by wildsox on Apr 23, 2024 17:36:01 GMT -5
Ugh Valdez
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cdj
Veteran
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Post by cdj on Apr 23, 2024 17:39:17 GMT -5
I haven’t called a Bobby HR yet
It’s time
Edit: he’s never hitting one again
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Post by julyanmorley on Apr 23, 2024 17:41:47 GMT -5
Pablo Reyes' DFA can't come fast enough
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cdj
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Post by cdj on Apr 23, 2024 17:42:16 GMT -5
Lively throwing 90-92 right by Rafaela in both at bats
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Post by notstarboard on Apr 23, 2024 17:42:42 GMT -5
Lively's stuff is too mediocre for us to make him look this good. So many whiffs and fouls on 90-92 mph fastballs with plenty of plate.
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nomar
Veteran
Posts: 10,830
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Post by nomar on Apr 23, 2024 17:42:55 GMT -5
Of all pitches to take Rafaela
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Post by evanstonredsox on Apr 23, 2024 17:43:05 GMT -5
Rafaela’s swing is getting scarily long
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